DFS Main Slate Discussion

🌦️ Weather Watch

• CLE @ NYJ: Rain is likely, with steady winds around 10 mph. Not a major disruption, but DSTs are in play.

• NYG @ CHI: Sustained winds around 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Light rain or snow is possible, but most models show it clearing before kickoff. Wind is the bigger concern here.

• DET @ WAS: Chance of scattered showers—monitor pregame radar for any impact on passing games.

🔍 Game Notes (Sorted by Highest Over/Under)

BUF @ MIA — O/U 50, BUF -9.5

Highest projected total on the slate and great weather in Miami. Josh Allen and James Cook are the only high-priced pieces, surrounded by plenty of value. The Dolphins’ target tree is narrow—Achane and Waddle are strong bring-backs for stacks.

LAR @ SF — O/U 49.5, LAR -3.5

No Purdy or Pearsall again for the 49ers against a surging Rams defense. Stafford has been lights out, and both Puka and Davante Adams are thriving. The 49ers’ secondary has been getting torched. McCaffrey is always in play, but so is the Rams DST. Bring-backs like McCaffrey and Kittle are strong, and you can sprinkle in value with Jauan Jennings or Mac Jones if full-stacking.

DET @ WAS — O/U 49, DET -8.5

Similar setup to BUF @ MIA, but with a bit more weather risk and less firepower from Washington. Gibbs disappointed in Week 9, but the Lions are known to bury weaker opponents. Not much interest on the Washington side, but the Lions DST is firmly in play.

NE @ TB — O/U 48.2, TB -2.5

Favorite game stack of the week with shootout potential. Weather is solid, and the tight spread helps. Injuries to Bucky Irving, Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Rhamondre Stevenson, and Kayshon Boutte help narrow the player pool and open up value.

BAL @ MIN — O/U 49, BAL -4.0

Just behind NE @ TB as a favorite stack. The concern: Baltimore’s defense is getting healthy and just added Dre'Mont Jones to boost a weak pass rush (1.4 sacks/game). JJ McCarthy’s rookie season has been inconsistent, and this could get one-sided if the Ravens start fast.

NYG @ CHI — O/U 48, CHI -3.5

We like this game, but weather (see above) knocks it down a tier. D’Andre Swift missed Friday’s practice for personal reasons—if he’s out, Kyle Monangai ($5600) becomes a core play against a Giants defense allowing nearly 6 YPC. On the other side, Theo Johnson is a great value at $3800 vs a Bears defense giving up 15+ PPG to TEs.

ARI @ SEA — O/U 45.5, SEA -6.5

Seattle dominated Washington last week and remains one of the hottest teams in the league. Sam Darnold’s price is rising but still too low at $5800—great value if you’re paying up elsewhere. Jacoby Brissett has been solid, but Seattle is a real test. That said, $4500 Brissett and $5300 Marvin Harrison make for a sneaky tournament pairing.

NO @ CAR — O/U 40, CAR -4.5

Rico Dowdle at $6300 is still underpriced for his production—if he smashes again, he’ll be over $7K next week. Tetairoa McMillan popped up on the injury report Friday, which is never a good sign. The Panthers are somehow the top-projected DST this week, which says a lot about the Saints’ current state. That said, Carolina averages just 1.6 sacks per game, so fading the DST makes sense—especially if they’re drawing ownership.

HOU @ JAX — O/U 38, HOU -1.5

We’re in DST territory now. No C.J. Stroud for Houston and no BTJ for Jacksonville. Davis Mills locked onto Nico Collins last week, making him a high-upside, low-owned tournament play.

CLE @ NYJ — O/U 36.5, CLE -2

Two struggling offenses and rainy conditions—both DSTs are in play. The Jets are down their top corner, but the Browns haven’t shown much through the air. If Harold Fannin is out, David Njoku becomes a strong value at $3200.

📥 Dive Deeper with the Full Breakdown

These notes are just the surface. For full team and game point projections, plus position-by-position stats vs. each defense, download our free Main Slate Breakdown. It’s packed with:

• ✅ Game-by-game scoring projections

• ✅ Defense vs. position metrics for every team

• ✅ Copy-ready data for lineup building, stacking, and value hunting

Download the Main Slate Breakdown and build smarter before lock.

Good luck with your Week 10 lineups—hope you crush it this Sunday!